Bio coming soon more here.
A world cloud of tweets from Saturday, November 21 to Thursday November 26 show the terms dominating Venezuelan social media. The more times a word is mentioned, the bigger it is. The killing of an opposition party leader in the state of Guárico last Wednesday raises...
For the third time since the death of Hugo Chávez’s death Venezuelans are going to the polls. But in contrast to any previous elections, Chavismo is facing the electoral event with the numbers against it. The latest numbers from Datanálisis suggest the government has...
(Lée el original en español en YV Polis) With municipal elections just days away, it is time to take another look at presidential approval polls through the end of October. After his first 100 days I showed that, despite increasing negative numbers, Maduro’s positive...
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This post can be read in Spanish at YV Polis. During the past week I was able to obtain cross tabulations of different variables for two different polls. The first poll of IVAD shows Maduro leading Capriles 52.3% - 31.8%, this survey was fielded the week ending on the...
Now that the presidential election has been called and both sides have chosen their candidates–Vice-president Nicolas Maduro for the governing socialist party (PSUV) and Miranda’s Governor Henrique Capriles for the opposition–it is time to think about strategies....
A previous version of this post was published in Spanish on YV Polis. Every day that passes we seem closer to the calling of new presidential elections. Here I take advantage of the recent release of polling data from Hinterlaces’ February Monitor Pais to provide an...
(Léelo en español en YV Polis) Finally, on October 7, after a very long electoral season, Venezuelans went to the polls to answer the question we’ve all been waiting for: which pollster was right? The answer is not as simple as it might seem and in this space I will...
(Léelo en español en YV Polis) With days to go before the next presidential election in Venezuela it is time for a final look at the polls. The new polls are just as murky as they have been all along. Most polling firms have released -this past week- their latest...
(Léelo en español en YV Polis) There is a little more than a month left to go before the next presidential election in Venezuela and the polls are just as murky as they were in July. The last month has seen a new batch of polling results that range from a 20-point...