My article in the February issue of Current History is finally out (download it here). In it I suggest that given the terrible state of the economy, dropping oil revenues, and the dropping popularity of Nicolas Maduro and the PSUV, it is hard to imagine Chavismo continuing to be Venezuela’s leading electoral force over the next two years. I suggest they will either be voted out, take on significant changes in economic ideology and policy, or become a significantly less democratic movement. The article asks why it has been so difficult for Maduro to take on obvious economic reforms. It also looks at the transnational dimension of this conflict and the opposition’s long term failure to develop a viable alternative.